Tennis · Challenger Metz · 16/11, 12:10
Prediction: Adrien Gobat vs Hugo Grenier
Team pages: Adrien Gobat · Hugo Grenier
Prediction summary
Winner
Adrien Gobat
Hugo Grenier
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Adrien Gobat
6-4 (W-L)
Hugo Grenier
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adrien Gobat 1530 · Hugo Grenier 1509
| Adrien Gobat | Hugo Grenier | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Adrien Gobat dominates on serve: 7.9 aces and 46.6% break avg.
- Hugo Grenier dominates on serve: 6.2 aces and 57.5% break avg.
- Note: Hugo Grenier makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Adrien Gobat | Hugo Grenier | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-10.6 | 11.8-10.8 |
| Aces | 7.9 | 6.2 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 76.8% | 71.6% |
| Break % | 46.6% | 57.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adrien Gobat
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11 | Buvaysar Gadamauri Challenger Metz · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/11 | Daniel Altmaier Challenger Orleans · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 09/11 | Benjamin Kittay Challenger Orleans · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/11 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Orleans · Hard |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 25/10 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Brest · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Philip Henning M25 Sarreguemines |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 23/10 | Daniel Masur M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/10 | Mae Malige M25 Sarreguemines |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 20/10 | Robert Strombachs M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/10 | Martin Riu M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Hugo Grenier
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11 | Florent Bax Challenger Metz · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/11 | Kyrian Jacquet Challenger Orleans · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/11 | Martin Krumich Challenger Orleans · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 08/11 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Orleans · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 05/11 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Taranto · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/11 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/10 | Moise Kouame Challenger Brest · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/10 | Paul Jubb M25 Redbridge |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 21/10 | Marcus Walters M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 20/10 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adrien Gobat vs Hugo Grenier?
Our model gives 57% to Hugo Grenier, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.