Tennis · WTA Colina · 17/11, 16:00

Prediction: Despina Papamichail vs Laura Samsonova

Team pages: Despina Papamichail · Laura Samsonova

Prediction summary
Winner
31% 69%
Despina Papamichail Laura Samsonova
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Despina Papamichail 5-5 (W-L)
WLWWLLWLWL
Laura Samsonova 6-4 (W-L)
WWLLWWLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Despina Papamichail 1488 · Laura Samsonova 1534
Despina PapamichailLaura Samsonova
Our model43%57%
Market21%79%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Laura Samsonova (rating 1488 vs 1534).
  • Note: Laura Samsonova makes many double faults (8.1/match).

Statistics

Despina PapamichailLaura Samsonova
Win %40%60%
Win % · Clay 43% (7) 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.41.3-1
Games (G-P)11.9-11.211-9.8
Aces0.43.1
Double faults2.18.1
1st serve %59.3%64%
Break %53.3%50.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Despina Papamichail

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/11 Miriam Bulgaru
W50 Chihuahua
1-2 12-14 L
10/11 Ia Reyes Romero
W50 Chihuahua
2-0 12-2 W
04/11 Renata Zarazua
WTA Cali · Clay
0-2 11-14 L
03/11 Maria Lourdes Carle
WTA Cali · Clay
2-1 17-13 W
26/10 Nauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva
WTA Curitiba · Clay
1-2 14-14 L
23/10 Alessandra Mazzola
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
22/10 Carolina Bohrer Martins
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
21/10 Matilde Mariani
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-1 13-9 W
13/10 Tamara Zidansek
WTA Mallorca · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
08/10 Jessica Bertoldo
W50 Heraklion · ~Hard
1-2 15-18 L

Laura Samsonova

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/11 Elizabeth Mandlik
WTA Sopo · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
12/11 Irene Burillo Escorihuela
WTA Sopo · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
11/11 Sofia Costoulas
WTA Sopo · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
10/11 Carolina Alves
WTA Sopo · Clay
2-1 19-14 W
04/11 Carole Monnet
WTA Cali · Clay
1-2 15-16 L
02/11 Yuliana Lizarazo
WTA Cali · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
26/10 Alice Tubello
WTA Curitiba · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
18/10 Ariana Geerlings
WTA Mallorca · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
17/10 Tamara Zidansek
WTA Mallorca · Clay
2-1 13-10 W
15/10 Lucie Nguyen Tan
WTA Mallorca · Clay
2-0 12-3 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Despina Papamichail vs Laura Samsonova?

Our model gives 69% to Laura Samsonova, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.