Tennis · WTA Colina · 17/11, 16:00
Prediction: Barbara Gatica vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia
Team pages: Barbara Gatica · Andrea Lazaro Garcia
Prediction summary
Winner
Barbara Gatica
Andrea Lazaro Garcia
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Barbara Gatica
9-1 (W-L)
Andrea Lazaro Garcia
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Barbara Gatica
1–0
Andrea Lazaro Garcia
(1 last)
- 15 Feb2-1 17-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Barbara Gatica 1589 · Andrea Lazaro Garcia 1548
| Barbara Gatica | Andrea Lazaro Garcia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Barbara Gatica (rating 1589 vs 1548).
- Head-to-head: Barbara Gatica 1–0 Andrea Lazaro Garcia (1).
- Note: Andrea Lazaro Garcia makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Barbara Gatica | Andrea Lazaro Garcia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-6.1 | 12.7-11.8 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 64.2% | 62.8% |
| Break % | 70.2% | 54.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
H2H · Barbara Gatica 1 – 0 Andrea Lazaro Garcia (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Barbara Gatica 1–0 Andrea Lazaro Garcia
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/21 ITF W25 Orlando | 2-1 | 17-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Barbara Gatica
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11 | Marie Mettraux W15 Sao Carlos |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 14/11 | Marjorie Souza W15 Sao Carlos |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/11 | Lan Mi W15 Sao Carlos |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/11 | Luisa Hrda W15 Sao Carlos |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/11 | Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa W15 Sao Carlos |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/10 | Ana Sofia Sanchez W15 Campina Grande |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Fernanda Labrana W15 Campina Grande |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/10 | Camila Romero W15 Campina Grande |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/10 | Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa W15 Campina Grande |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 18/10 | Ana Sofia Sanchez W15 Maceio |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
Andrea Lazaro Garcia
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Elizabeth Mandlik WTA Sopo · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 11/11 | Jazmin Ortenzi WTA Sopo · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 10/11 | Katrina Scott WTA Sopo · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 15/10 | Nuria Brancaccio WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 12/10 | Yasmine Kabbaj WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/10 | Sonay Kartal WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Linda Fruhvirtova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/09 | Tian Jialin WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 18/09 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur WTA Valencia · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 16/09 | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Barbara Gatica vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia?
Our model gives 52% to Andrea Lazaro Garcia, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.