Tennis · WTA Colina · 17/11, 16:00
Prediction: Sofia Costoulas vs Nuria Brancaccio
Team pages: Sofia Costoulas · Nuria Brancaccio
Prediction summary
Winner
Sofia Costoulas
Nuria Brancaccio
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Sofia Costoulas
5-5 (W-L)
Nuria Brancaccio
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sofia Costoulas
0–2
Nuria Brancaccio
(2 last)
- 14 Jan0-2 5-12L
- 04 Mar0-2 2-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sofia Costoulas 1448 · Nuria Brancaccio 1560
| Sofia Costoulas | Nuria Brancaccio | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nuria Brancaccio (rating 1448 vs 1560).
- Nuria Brancaccio is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Sofia Costoulas 0–2 Nuria Brancaccio (2).
Statistics
| Sofia Costoulas | Nuria Brancaccio | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-10.8 | 12.5-10 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 65.9% | 59.4% |
| Break % | 38.4% | 43.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Sofia Costoulas 0 – 2 Nuria Brancaccio (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sofia Costoulas 0–2 Nuria Brancaccio
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/01/23 ITF W25 Buenos Aires | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/03/21 W15 Antalya | 0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sofia Costoulas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Laura Samsonova WTA Sopo · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/11 | Antonella Esquivel Usech WTA Sopo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 03/11 | Marina Bassols Ribera WTA Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Valeriya Strakhova WTA Queretaro · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Sofya Lansere WTA Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Kristina Mladenovic WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Tatiana Prozorova WTA Singapore · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 08/09 | Hina Inoue W50 Guiyang |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 04/09 | Zhuoxuan Bai W75 Tianjin |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Kristiana Sidorova W75 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Nuria Brancaccio
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Raluca Georgiana Serban W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 06/11 | Jennifer Ruggeri W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/11 | Carlota Martinez Cirez W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/11 | Valentini Grammatikopoulou W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 15/10 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia WTA Mallorca · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 13/10 | Laura Pigossi WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/10 | Alisa Oktiabreva W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/10 | Jennifer Ruggeri W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 08/10 | Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/10 | Noemi La Cagnina W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sofia Costoulas vs Nuria Brancaccio?
Our model gives 64% to Nuria Brancaccio, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.