Tennis · WTA Colina · 17/11, 16:00
Prediction: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Veronika Erjavec
Team pages: Maria Lourdes Carle · Veronika Erjavec
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Lourdes Carle
Veronika Erjavec
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Lourdes Carle
3-7 (W-L)
Veronika Erjavec
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Maria Lourdes Carle
2–1
Veronika Erjavec
(3 last)
- 28 Mar1-2 14-14L
- 05 Sept2-0 12-4W
- 02 Sept2-0 13-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Lourdes Carle 1458 · Veronika Erjavec 1463
| Maria Lourdes Carle | Veronika Erjavec | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Maria Lourdes Carle 2–1 Veronika Erjavec (3).
- Note: Maria Lourdes Carle makes many double faults (7.1/match).
Statistics
| Maria Lourdes Carle | Veronika Erjavec | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 29% (7) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-12.5 | 10.9-12.4 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 7.1 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 56.9% | 58.6% |
| Break % | 58.7% | 57.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
H2H · Maria Lourdes Carle 2 – 1 Veronika Erjavec (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maria Lourdes Carle 2–1 Veronika Erjavec
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/25 WTA Antalya 2 | 1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 05/09/23 WTA Bari | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09/22 ITF W60 Prague | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Lourdes Carle
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Marina Bassols Ribera WTA Sopo · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/11 | Valentina Mediorreal Arias WTA Sopo · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 03/11 | Despina Papamichail WTA Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 29/10 | Julia Grabher WTA Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 27/10 | Laura Pigossi WTA Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Kristina Liutova W100 Edmond |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W50 Lexington |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Valeriya Strakhova W50 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Nuria Brancaccio WTA Tolentino · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 15/09 | Ekaterine Gorgodze WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
Veronika Erjavec
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Elizabeth Mandlik WTA Sopo · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 22/09 | Katerina Tsygourova WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 14/09 | Francesca Curmi WTA Valencia · Clay |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 30/08 | Jasmine Paolini US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 24/08 | Julia Grabher WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 11/08 | Mary Stoiana WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Julia Grabher WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Gina Feistel WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Mona Barthel WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Lourdes Carle vs Veronika Erjavec?
Our model gives 50% to Maria Lourdes Carle, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.