Tennis · WTA Colina · 17/11, 16:00
Prediction: Lucia Bronzetti vs Alicia Herrero Linana
Team pages: Lucia Bronzetti · Alicia Herrero Linana
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucia Bronzetti
Alicia Herrero Linana
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Lucia Bronzetti
3-7 (W-L)
Alicia Herrero Linana
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucia Bronzetti 1438 · Alicia Herrero Linana 1532
| Lucia Bronzetti | Alicia Herrero Linana | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alicia Herrero Linana (rating 1438 vs 1532).
- Alicia Herrero Linana is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Lucia Bronzetti | Alicia Herrero Linana | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 20% (5) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.8 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-13.1 | 12.2-10.8 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 62.1% | 61.6% |
| Break % | 42.9% | 42.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucia Bronzetti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Elizabeth Mandlik WTA Sopo · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/11 | Julieta Pareja WTA Sopo · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 02/11 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 26/10 | Luisina Giovannini WTA Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 14/10 | Jil Teichmann WTA Rovereto · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/10 | Mona Barthel WTA Rovereto · Hard |
2-1 | 15-7 | W |
| 05/10 | Fiona Crawley WTA Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Lois Boisson WTA Adana · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Irene Burillo Escorihuela WTA Antalya · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 26/08 | Polina Iatcenko US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Alicia Herrero Linana
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Bianca Andreescu WTA Queretaro · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 30/10 | Tamara Zidansek WTA Queretaro · Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 27/10 | Victoria Rodriguez WTA Queretaro · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/10 | Akasha Urhobo W100 Edmond |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 16/10 | Martina Okalova W100 Edmond |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 22/09 | Barbora Palicova WTA Tolentino · Clay |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 20/09 | Clara Burel WTA Valencia · Clay |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 19/09 | Yasmine Kabbaj WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/09 | Irene Burillo Escorihuela WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/09 | Rebeka Masarova WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucia Bronzetti vs Alicia Herrero Linana?
Our model gives 50% to Lucia Bronzetti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.