Tennis · WTA Colina · 17/11, 16:00
Prediction: Nadia Podoroska vs Varvara Lepchenko
Team pages: Nadia Podoroska · Varvara Lepchenko
Prediction summary
Winner
Nadia Podoroska
Varvara Lepchenko
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Nadia Podoroska
8-2 (W-L)
Varvara Lepchenko
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Nadia Podoroska
0–1
Varvara Lepchenko
(1 last)
- 14 Oct1-2 10-14L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nadia Podoroska 1542 · Varvara Lepchenko 1496
| Nadia Podoroska | Varvara Lepchenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nadia Podoroska (rating 1542 vs 1496).
- Head-to-head: Nadia Podoroska 0–1 Varvara Lepchenko (1).
- Note: Nadia Podoroska makes many double faults (6.3/match).
Statistics
| Nadia Podoroska | Varvara Lepchenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10.2 | 10.4-10 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 2 |
| Double faults | 6.3 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 60.8% | 66.8% |
| Break % | 59.4% | 39.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
H2H · Nadia Podoroska 0 – 1 Varvara Lepchenko (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nadia Podoroska 0–1 Varvara Lepchenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10/26 W100 Edmond | 1-2 | 10-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nadia Podoroska
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Carole Monnet WTA Queretaro · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 29/10 | Miriam Bulgaru WTA Queretaro · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/10 | Alice Rame WTA Queretaro · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/10 | Varvara Lepchenko W100 Edmond |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 21/09 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 19/09 | Paula Badosa WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/09 | Suzan Lamens WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 17/09 | Eva Lys WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/09 | Lucrezia Stefanini WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Anna Blinkova WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Varvara Lepchenko
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Polona Hercog WTA Sopo · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/10 | Christasha McNeil W50 Austin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/10 | Cristina Ramos Sierra W50 Austin |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/10 | Julieta Pareja W100 Edmond |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 14/10 | Nadia Podoroska W100 Edmond |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 29/09 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Ulrikke Eikeri WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/09 | Alycia Parks WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 09/09 | Claire Liu WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Katrina Scott WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nadia Podoroska vs Varvara Lepchenko?
Our model gives 60% to Nadia Podoroska, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.