Tennis · Challenger Metz · 16/11, 10:00
Prediction: Luca Nardi vs Stefan Latinov
Team pages: Luca Nardi · Stefan Latinov
Prediction summary
Winner
Luca Nardi
Stefan Latinov
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Luca Nardi
5-5 (W-L)
Stefan Latinov
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luca Nardi 1544 · Stefan Latinov 1463
| Luca Nardi | Stefan Latinov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luca Nardi (rating 1544 vs 1463).
Statistics
| Luca Nardi | Stefan Latinov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10.2 | 9.8-12.3 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 5.6 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 69.1% | 74% |
| Break % | 55.4% | 27% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luca Nardi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11 | Milos Karol Challenger Metz · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/11 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Orleans · Hard |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 09/11 | Alexander Ritschard Challenger Orleans · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/11 | Alexander Donski Challenger Orleans · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/10 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Michael Mmoh Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/10 | Lorenzo Carboni Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | August Holmgren Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 05/10 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Andrea Guerrieri ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Stefan Latinov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11 | Cyril Vandermeersch Challenger Metz · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 04/10 | Hynek Barton Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Radu Albot Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Nathaniel Lammons Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/05 | Andrew Paulson Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/04 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Mauthausen · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/03 | Guy Orly Iradukunda Challenger Kigali · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 08/03 | Michiel de Krom Challenger Kigali Qual · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luca Nardi vs Stefan Latinov?
Our model gives 77% to Luca Nardi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.