Tennis · Challenger Helsinki · 16/11, 11:30
Prediction: Arvid Nordquist vs Svyatoslav Gulin
Team pages: Arvid Nordquist · Svyatoslav Gulin
Prediction summary
Winner
Arvid Nordquist
Svyatoslav Gulin
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Arvid Nordquist
8-2 (W-L)
Svyatoslav Gulin
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arvid Nordquist 1548 · Svyatoslav Gulin 1549
| Arvid Nordquist | Svyatoslav Gulin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Arvid Nordquist | Svyatoslav Gulin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-11.6 | 10.9-8.5 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 2 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 69.3% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 56.2% | 44% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arvid Nordquist
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11 | Jay Clarke Challenger Helsinki · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 08/11 | Alexander Vasilev Challenger Hersonissos · Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 01/11 | Matteo Sciahbasi Challenger Taranto · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 17/10 | Lukas Pokorny M15 Szabolcsveresmart · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 15/10 | Jan Hrazdil M15 Szabolcsveresmart · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/10 | Noah Thurner M15 Szabolcsveresmart · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 27/09 | Digvijay Pratap Singh M15 Baku |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 26/09 | Dmitry Dolzhenkov M15 Baku |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/09 | Millen Hurrion M15 Baku |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/09 | James Connel M15 Baku |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Svyatoslav Gulin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11 | Oskari Paldanius Challenger Helsinki · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 06/11 | Ivan Gakhov M25 Valencia |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/11 | Enrique Carrascosa Diaz M25 Valencia |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/11 | Iannis Miletich M25 Valencia |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 25/10 | Alexander Ritschard Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Elmer Moller Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 23/10 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 22/10 | Andrej Martin Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/10 | Patrick Schoen Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/10 | Patrick Schoen Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arvid Nordquist vs Svyatoslav Gulin?
Our model gives 62% to Svyatoslav Gulin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.