Tennis · Challenger Metz · 17/11, 11:00
Prediction: Marat Sharipov vs Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Team pages: Marat Sharipov · Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Prediction summary
Winner
Marat Sharipov
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Marat Sharipov
8-2 (W-L)
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marat Sharipov 1620 · Inaki Montes-De La Torre 1505
| Marat Sharipov | Inaki Montes-De La Torre | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marat Sharipov (rating 1620 vs 1505).
- Marat Sharipov dominates on serve: 11.2 aces and 44.2% break avg.
- Marat Sharipov is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Inaki Montes-De La Torre makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Marat Sharipov | Inaki Montes-De La Torre | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.3 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-7.1 | 11.3-10 |
| Aces | 11.2 | 1 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 80.1% | 68.4% |
| Break % | 44.2% | 47.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marat Sharipov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Jake Delaney Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/10 | Zhe Jiang Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 05/10 | Semen Pankin Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/10 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Dalibor Svrcina Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 29/09 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/09 | Naoya Honda Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/09 | Pavel Kotov Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/09 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/09 | Elias Ymer Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Stockholm · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/11 | Damir Dzumhur ATP Stockholm · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/11 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Taranto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Toby Samuel Challenger Brest · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Henrique Rocha Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 03/10 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/10 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Luca Potenza Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/09 | Alec Deckers M25 Setubal |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 26/09 | Michael Agwi M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marat Sharipov vs Inaki Montes-De La Torre?
Our model gives 58% to Marat Sharipov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.