Tennis · UTR Pro Yokohama · 16/11, 03:30
Prediction: Taiyo Hirano vs Toshiki Karigyo
Team pages: Taiyo Hirano · Toshiki Karigyo
Prediction summary
Winner
Taiyo Hirano
Toshiki Karigyo
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Taiyo Hirano
4-6 (W-L)
Toshiki Karigyo
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Taiyo Hirano 1466 · Toshiki Karigyo 1455
| Taiyo Hirano | Toshiki Karigyo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Taiyo Hirano | Toshiki Karigyo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10.9 | 8.5-11.1 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 59.7% | 63% |
| Break % | 48.1% | 35.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Taiyo Hirano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Eita Suzuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 07/11 | Julian Messina UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/11 | Tokitaka Ito UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/11 | Koji Tsukamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 03/11 | Daisuke Hashimoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 03/11 | Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/10 | Alexey Shtengelov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/10 | Sota Kambara UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/10 | Keisuke Ota UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 14/10 | Hien Q H Pham UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Toshiki Karigyo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Linang Xiao M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/11 | Xin Zhou M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/10 | Yua Taka M15 Yanagawa City |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/10 | Oscar Brown M15 Tanagura |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Hiromasa Koyama M15 Tanagura |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 19/10 | Natsuki Yamamoto M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/09 | Taiyo Uenoyama UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/08 | Ye Chen M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Tsung-Hao Huang M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Ku Keon Kang M15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Taiyo Hirano vs Toshiki Karigyo?
Our model gives 62% to Toshiki Karigyo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.