Tennis · UTR Pro Yokohama · 16/11, 02:00
Prediction: Haru Kawanaka vs Taiyo Sato
Team pages: Haru Kawanaka · Taiyo Sato
Prediction summary
Winner
Haru Kawanaka
Taiyo Sato
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Haru Kawanaka
4-6 (W-L)
Taiyo Sato
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Haru Kawanaka 1398 · Taiyo Sato 1577
| Haru Kawanaka | Taiyo Sato | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 74% |
| Market | 13% | 87% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Taiyo Sato (rating 1398 vs 1577).
- Taiyo Sato is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Haru Kawanaka makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Haru Kawanaka | Taiyo Sato | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.6 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.9-11.3 | 12.1-10.1 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 4 | 0.3 |
| 1st serve % | 55.1% | 55.1% |
| Break % | 65% | 50.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Haru Kawanaka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Julian Messina UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/11 | Eita Suzuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/11 | Yakumo Motokura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 05/11 | Taiyo Uenoyama UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/11 | Tokitaka Ito UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 03/11 | Ke Hau Hung UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 16/10 | Ryusei Hashimoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Aruth Chinsupakul UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 13/10 | Hien Q H Pham UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Taiyo Hirano UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Taiyo Sato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Hugo Hashimoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 07/11 | Kazuki Nishiwaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 06/11 | Kenta Kawada UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/01 | Kosuke Shibano UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/01 | Toshiki Karigyo UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/01 | Katsutoshi Suzuki UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/01 | Yuto Miyagawa UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 07/01 | Ryotaro Matsumura UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/01 | Ryuichiro Nakano UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 21/12 | Hiiro Sakamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Haru Kawanaka vs Taiyo Sato?
Our model gives 81% to Taiyo Sato, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.