Tennis · UTR Pro Yokohama · 16/11, 02:00
Prediction: Maciej Rajski vs Yakumo Motokura
Team pages: Maciej Rajski · Yakumo Motokura
Prediction summary
Winner
Maciej Rajski
Yakumo Motokura
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Maciej Rajski
8-2 (W-L)
Yakumo Motokura
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maciej Rajski 1606 · Yakumo Motokura 1537
| Maciej Rajski | Yakumo Motokura | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maciej Rajski (rating 1606 vs 1537).
- Maciej Rajski is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Maciej Rajski | Yakumo Motokura | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-7.7 | 12.6-9.8 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 70.3% | 63.4% |
| Break % | 56.8% | 51.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maciej Rajski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | David Knesl UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 04/07 | Constantinos Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/07 | Arnav Bhandari UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/07 | Noble Renfrow UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Pavel Bushuev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 01/07 | Christopher Rodi UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/06 | Xavier Calvelo UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/06 | JP Day UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/06 | Juan Carlos Fuentes Vasquez UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/06 | Ilan Klein UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
Yakumo Motokura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Ewan Ogura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/11 | Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/11 | Haru Kawanaka UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 06/11 | Seiya Nakanishi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 03/11 | Julian Messina UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/11 | Kenta Kawada UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 03/10 | Seiya Nakanishi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/10 | Tomoki Fujiwara UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 01/10 | Abdumalik Kamalov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maciej Rajski vs Yakumo Motokura?
Our model gives 75% to Maciej Rajski, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.