Tennis · W75 Sydney · 18/11, 00:00

Prediction: Shuai Zhang vs Mei Yamaguchi

Team pages: Shuai Zhang · Mei Yamaguchi

Prediction summary
Winner
69% 31%
Shuai Zhang Mei Yamaguchi
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Shuai Zhang 3-7 (W-L)
LLLWWLLLWL
Mei Yamaguchi 4-6 (W-L)
LLLWLLWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shuai Zhang 1445 · Mei Yamaguchi 1426
Shuai ZhangMei Yamaguchi
Our model53%47%
Market83%17%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Shuai ZhangMei Yamaguchi
Win %30%20%
Win % · Hard 25% (8) 22% (9)
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.50.7-1.7
Games (G-P)8.2-10.99.1-12.4
Aces1.41.5
Double faults21.6
1st serve %58.9%56.1%
Break %37.4%61.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shuai Zhang

LLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/10 Tereza Valentova
WTA Tokyo · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
24/10 Kayla Day
WTA Tokyo · Hard
2-1 16-14 W
20/10 Tereza Valentova
WTA Osaka · Hard
1-2 12-13 L
13/10 Ashlyn Krueger
WTA Wuhan · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
02/10 Xiyu Wang
Asian Games
0-2 3-12 L
01/10 Yulia Putintseva
Asian Games
2-0 12-6 W
24/09 Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Billie Jean King Cup · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
30/08 Leylah Annie Fernandez
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
25/08 Maria Timofeeva
WTA Monterrey · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
16/08 Ann Li
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 8-13 L

Mei Yamaguchi

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/11 Yuki Naito
W75 Brisbane
1-2 17-18 L
03/11 Zhibek Kulambayeva
WTA Chennai · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
01/11 Zhibek Kulambayeva
WTA Chennai · Hard
1-2 15-16 L
31/10 Zeel Desai
WTA Chennai · Hard
2-0 12-1 W
25/10 Harriet Dart
WTA Guangzhou · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
24/10 Linda Fruhvirtova
WTA Guangzhou · Hard
2-1 15-14 W
17/10 Sofia Kenin
WTA Osaka · Hard
1-2 7-14 L
28/09 Wushuang Zheng
WTA Jingshan · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
22/09 Alycia Parks
WTA Singapore · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
20/09 Kyoka Okamura
WTA Singapore · Hard
0-2 2-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shuai Zhang vs Mei Yamaguchi?

Our model gives 69% to Shuai Zhang, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.