Tennis · UTR Pro Yokohama Women · 16/11, 02:00
Prediction: Junri Namigata vs Emi Nakajima
Team pages: Junri Namigata
Prediction summary
Winner
Junri Namigata
Emi Nakajima
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Junri Namigata
7-3 (W-L)
Emi Nakajima
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Junri Namigata 1540 · Emi Nakajima 1445
| Junri Namigata | Emi Nakajima | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Junri Namigata (rating 1540 vs 1445).
- Junri Namigata is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Junri Namigata | Emi Nakajima | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 0.6-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-8.8 | 6.6-11.1 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 62.4% | 45.6% |
| Break % | 60.1% | 40.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Junri Namigata
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Natsuki Yoshimoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/10 | Sae Noguchi UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 23/10 | Michiru Furuya UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-6 | W |
| 18/10 | Rito Arima UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/10 | Miyu Kato UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/10 | Nana Kawagishi UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/07 | Haruna Arakawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Ayumi Miyamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 17/07 | Mayuka Aikawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/07 | Yui Ohwaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Emi Nakajima
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02 | Yui Chikaraishi UTR Pro Yokohama Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/02 | Yui Komada UTR Pro Yokohama Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 04/02 | Ai Yamaguchi UTR Pro Yokohama Women · Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 02/02 | Yui Ohwaki UTR Pro Yokohama Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 31/01 | Sera Nishimoto UTR Pro Yokohama Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/01 | Michiru Furuya UTR Pro Yokohama Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 28/01 | Miyu Kato UTR Pro Yokohama Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 27/01 | Azusa Ishii UTR Pro Yokohama Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/01 | Natsuko Saegusa UTR Pro Yokohama Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/01 | Yuna Ohashi UTR Pro Yokohama Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Junri Namigata vs Emi Nakajima?
Our model gives 79% to Junri Namigata, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.