Tennis · Challenger Metz · 16/11, 10:00
Prediction: Calvin Hemery vs Matthew William Donald
Team pages: Calvin Hemery · Matthew William Donald
Prediction summary
Winner
Calvin Hemery
Matthew William Donald
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Calvin Hemery
5-5 (W-L)
Matthew William Donald
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Calvin Hemery 1534 · Matthew William Donald 1526
| Calvin Hemery | Matthew William Donald | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Calvin Hemery | Matthew William Donald | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-11.4 | 11.6-9.7 |
| Aces | 6.8 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 71.7% | 65.1% |
| Break % | 35.7% | 46.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Calvin Hemery
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11 | Alexander Donski Challenger Metz · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/11 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Orleans · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/11 | Sebastian Baez Challenger Orleans · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/11 | Shintaro Mochizuki Challenger Orleans · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 09/11 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Orleans · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 08/11 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand Challenger Orleans · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/11 | Philip Henning Challenger Taranto · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/10 | Robin Catry Challenger Brest · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 25/10 | Adrien Gobat Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/10 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Matthew William Donald
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11 | Martin Krumich Challenger Metz · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 02/11 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/11 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/11 | Marko Bekeni Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/10 | Filippo Romano Challenger Florence · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Henry Searle Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/10 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 19/10 | Javier Barranco Cosano Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 18/10 | Gabriele Pennaforti Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/10 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 9-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Calvin Hemery vs Matthew William Donald?
Our model gives 55% to Calvin Hemery, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.