Tennis · W75 Sydney · 16/11, 00:00
Prediction: Kristiana Sidorova vs Natsumi Kawaguchi
Team pages: Kristiana Sidorova · Natsumi Kawaguchi
Prediction summary
Winner
Kristiana Sidorova
Natsumi Kawaguchi
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Kristiana Sidorova
6-4 (W-L)
Natsumi Kawaguchi
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kristiana Sidorova 1514 · Natsumi Kawaguchi 1502
| Kristiana Sidorova | Natsumi Kawaguchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Kristiana Sidorova | Natsumi Kawaguchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-9.9 | 10.1-10.6 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 68.5% | 62.5% |
| Break % | 47.4% | 49.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kristiana Sidorova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11 | Angel Warang W75 Sydney |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/11 | Yexin Ma W50 Yokohama |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/11 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho W100 Incheon |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Katarina Zavatska WTA Suzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Aliona Falei WTA Jingshan · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 29/09 | Daria Egorova WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/09 | Meiqi Guo WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/09 | Aruzhan Sagandikova WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 20/09 | Sijia Wei W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/09 | Yujia Huang W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Natsumi Kawaguchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11 | Nagi Hanatani W75 Sydney |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/11 | BoYoung Jeong W75 Brisbane |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/11 | Catherine Aulia W75 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/11 | Xinyu Gao W100 Incheon |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/11 | Ena Shibahara W100 Incheon |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 26/09 | Meiqi Guo WTA Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Sayaka Ishii W50 Nanao |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 22/09 | Kayo Nishimura W50 Nanao |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/09 | Rinko Matsuda W35 Kyoto |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Haruna Arakawa W35 Kyoto |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kristiana Sidorova vs Natsumi Kawaguchi?
Our model gives 60% to Kristiana Sidorova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.