Tennis · W75 Sydney · 18/11, 00:00
Prediction: Xinxin Yao vs Katie Swan
Team pages: Xinxin Yao · Katie Swan
Prediction summary
Winner
Xinxin Yao
Katie Swan
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Xinxin Yao
7-3 (W-L)
Katie Swan
10-0 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Xinxin Yao
0–1
Katie Swan
(1 last)
- 06 Nov0-2 5-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Xinxin Yao 1552 · Katie Swan 1667
| Xinxin Yao | Katie Swan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Katie Swan (rating 1552 vs 1667).
- Katie Swan is in better form: 100% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Xinxin Yao 0–1 Katie Swan (1).
Statistics
| Xinxin Yao | Katie Swan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 100% |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 2-0.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-10.1 | 12.9-5.8 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 61.1% | 70.9% |
| Break % | 47.6% | 62.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
H2H · Xinxin Yao 0 – 1 Katie Swan (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Xinxin Yao 0–1 Katie Swan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/26 W100 Incheon | 0-2 | 5-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Xinxin Yao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11 | Emerson Jones W75 Brisbane |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/11 | Yuki Naito W75 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/11 | Renee Alame W75 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/11 | Katie Swan W100 Incheon |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 05/11 | Xiaodi You W100 Incheon |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 03/11 | Hanna Chang W100 Incheon |
2-1 | 15-6 | W |
| 25/10 | Daria Khomutsianskaya W35 Qian Daohu |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 24/10 | Rada Zolotareva W35 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/10 | Yidi Yang W35 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/10 | Yujia Huang W35 Qian Daohu |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Katie Swan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Yeon Woo Ku W100 Incheon |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 07/11 | Han Shi W100 Incheon |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 06/11 | Xinxin Yao W100 Incheon |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 05/11 | Rina Saigo W100 Incheon |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/11 | Aoi Ito W100 Incheon |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/11 | Hikaru Sato W35 Sydney |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/10 | Funa Kozaki W35 Sydney |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 30/10 | I Wen Wan W35 Sydney |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 29/10 | Laquisa Khan W35 Sydney |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 28/10 | Leyla Fiorella Britez Risso W35 Sydney |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Xinxin Yao vs Katie Swan?
Our model gives 75% to Katie Swan.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.