Tennis · W75 Sydney · 18/11, 00:00
Prediction: Astra Sharma vs Emerson Jones
Team pages: Astra Sharma · Emerson Jones
Prediction summary
Winner
Astra Sharma
Emerson Jones
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Astra Sharma
6-4 (W-L)
Emerson Jones
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Astra Sharma
1–1
Emerson Jones
(2 last)
- 12 Nov1-2 13-14L
- 06 Feb2-1 15-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Astra Sharma 1540 · Emerson Jones 1490
| Astra Sharma | Emerson Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Astra Sharma (rating 1540 vs 1490).
Statistics
| Astra Sharma | Emerson Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-8.7 | 10.7-11.5 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 64.1% | 61.1% |
| Break % | 52.8% | 57.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
H2H · Astra Sharma 1 – 1 Emerson Jones (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Astra Sharma 1–1 Emerson Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/26 W75 Brisbane | 1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 06/02/25 W75 Brisbane | 2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Astra Sharma
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Emerson Jones W75 Brisbane |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 11/11 | Tahlia Kokkinis W75 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/10 | Sloane Stephens W100 New Braunfels |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/10 | Kristina Penickova W100 New Braunfels |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 27/10 | Olivia Lincer W100 New Braunfels |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/10 | Connie Ma W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Lea Ma W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 21/10 | Imogen Haddad W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/10 | Delaney Letzel W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/10 | Kaitlyn Carnicella W50 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Emerson Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11 | Joanna Garland W75 Brisbane |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/11 | Xinxin Yao W75 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/11 | Astra Sharma W75 Brisbane |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 11/11 | Chengyiyi Yuan W75 Brisbane |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 03/11 | Alexandra Eala WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/11 | Alexandra Shubladze WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 31/10 | Heather Watson WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/10 | Dayana Yastremska WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Hong Yi Cody Wong WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 20/10 | Ann Li WTA Osaka · Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Astra Sharma vs Emerson Jones?
Our model gives 55% to Emerson Jones, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.