Tennis · Challenger Montevideo · 16/11, 17:00
Prediction: Tristan Boyer vs Hugo Dellien
Team pages: Tristan Boyer · Hugo Dellien
Prediction summary
Winner
Tristan Boyer
Hugo Dellien
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Tristan Boyer
7-3 (W-L)
Hugo Dellien
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Tristan Boyer
2–0
Hugo Dellien
(2 last)
- 09 Nov2-0 12-8W
- 17 Nov2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tristan Boyer 1515 · Hugo Dellien 1587
| Tristan Boyer | Hugo Dellien | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hugo Dellien (rating 1515 vs 1587).
- Hugo Dellien is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Tristan Boyer 2–0 Hugo Dellien (2).
Statistics
| Tristan Boyer | Hugo Dellien | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.6-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-11.9 | 11.5-7.4 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 64.7% | 67.7% |
| Break % | 35.2% | 62.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
H2H · Tristan Boyer 2 – 0 Hugo Dellien (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tristan Boyer 2–0 Hugo Dellien
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/26 Challenger Lima | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/11/24 Challenger Montevideo | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tristan Boyer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Lima · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 11/11 | Ryo Tabata Challenger Lima · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/11 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Lima · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/10 | Elmer Moller Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/10 | Matej Dodig Challenger Maia · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/10 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 13/10 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/10 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Braga · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 25/09 | Timo Legout Challenger San Diego · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 24/09 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Hugo Dellien
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Tristan Boyer Challenger Lima · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 31/10 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/10 | Carlos Maria Zarate Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/10 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/10 | Nicolas Jarry Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/10 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/10 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/10 | Luis Guto Miguel Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/10 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/10 | Bernardo Munk Mesa Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tristan Boyer vs Hugo Dellien?
Our model gives 61% to Hugo Dellien, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.