Tennis · Challenger Montevideo · 16/11, 17:00
Prediction: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Francisco Comesana
Team pages: Juan Manuel La Serna · Francisco Comesana
Prediction summary
Winner
Juan Manuel La Serna
Francisco Comesana
Estimated games
25.4
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Manuel La Serna
6-4 (W-L)
Francisco Comesana
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Juan Manuel La Serna
0–1
Francisco Comesana
(1 last)
- 08 Dec0-2 3-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juan Manuel La Serna 1574 · Francisco Comesana 1535
| Juan Manuel La Serna | Francisco Comesana | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Juan Manuel La Serna 0–1 Francisco Comesana (1).
Statistics
| Juan Manuel La Serna | Francisco Comesana | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1.6-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-10.9 | 15-13.1 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 68.6% | 69% |
| Break % | 46.2% | 44.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.4
H2H · Juan Manuel La Serna 0 – 1 Francisco Comesana (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Juan Manuel La Serna 0–1 Francisco Comesana
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/12/21 ITF M25 Rio Cuarto | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Manuel La Serna
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/11 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/11 | Carlos Maria Zarate Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/11 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 03/11 | Mateo Del Pino Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 27/10 | Nick Hardt Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 23/10 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 21/10 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/10 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Francisco Comesana
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Lima · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 04/11 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 20/10 | Nick Hardt Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/10 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 16/10 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 15/10 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Nick Hardt Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 06/10 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 24/09 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 22/09 | Juan Estevez Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juan Manuel La Serna vs Francisco Comesana?
Our model gives 54% to Francisco Comesana, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.