Tennis · Challenger Montevideo · 16/11, 17:00

Prediction: Franco Roncadelli vs Tomas Barrios Vera

Team pages: Franco Roncadelli · Tomas Barrios Vera

Prediction summary
Winner
51% 49%
Franco Roncadelli Tomas Barrios Vera
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Franco Roncadelli 6-4 (W-L)
WLLWLWWWLW
Tomas Barrios Vera 7-3 (W-L)
WWWWLWLWLW
Head-to-head
Franco Roncadelli 0–2 Tomas Barrios Vera (2 last)
  • 06 Oct0-2 6-12L
  • 14 Nov0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Franco Roncadelli 1572 · Tomas Barrios Vera 1477
Franco RoncadelliTomas Barrios Vera
Our model63%37%
Market41%59%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Franco Roncadelli (rating 1572 vs 1477).
  • Franco Roncadelli is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Franco Roncadelli 0–2 Tomas Barrios Vera (2).

Statistics

Franco RoncadelliTomas Barrios Vera
Win %70%40%
Win % · Clay 70% (10) 40% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.91.3-1.3
Games (G-P)12.3-9.313-13
Aces0.71.1
Double faults0.93.6
1st serve %63.6%65.8%
Break %56%42.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.2

H2H · Franco Roncadelli 0 – 2 Tomas Barrios Vera (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Franco Roncadelli 0–2 Tomas Barrios Vera

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DateSetsGamesRes.
06/10/26
Challenger Antofagasta
0-26-12L
14/11/25
Challenger Montevideo
0-26-12L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Franco Roncadelli

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/11 Max Alcala Gurri
Challenger Lima · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
13/11 Alan Magadan
Challenger Lima · Clay
2-1 13-10 W
10/11 Alessandro Rubini
Challenger Lima · Clay
2-0 12-0 W
09/11 Juan Sebastian Gomez
Challenger Lima · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
08/11 Ricardo Sebastian Ramos Vargas
Challenger Lima · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
06/11 Thiago Seyboth Wild
Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
03/11 Rafael Tosetto
Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay
2-1 18-13 W
27/10 Valerio Aboian
Challenger Guayaquil · Clay
1-2 11-14 L
16/10 Juan Manuel La Serna
Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay
1-2 12-18 L
15/10 Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay
2-1 14-13 W

Tomas Barrios Vera

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/11 Juan Pablo Varillas
Challenger Lima · Clay
1-2 13-16 L
04/11 Lautaro Midon
Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay
1-2 16-17 L
02/11 Henrique Rocha
Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay
2-0 13-10 W
29/10 Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
Challenger Guayaquil · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
27/10 Juan Estevez
Challenger Guayaquil · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
20/10 Nicolas Jarry
Challenger Cali · Clay
1-2 13-18 L
08/10 Miguel Tobon
Challenger Antofagasta · Clay
1-2 18-17 L
06/10 Franco Roncadelli
Challenger Antofagasta · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
03/10 Guido Ivan Justo
Challenger Curitiba · Clay
1-2 13-16 L
02/10 Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Challenger Curitiba · Clay
2-1 15-10 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Franco Roncadelli vs Tomas Barrios Vera?

Our model gives 51% to Franco Roncadelli, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.