Tennis · Challenger Montevideo · 16/11, 17:00
Prediction: Franco Roncadelli vs Tomas Barrios Vera
Team pages: Franco Roncadelli · Tomas Barrios Vera
Prediction summary
Winner
Franco Roncadelli
Tomas Barrios Vera
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Franco Roncadelli
6-4 (W-L)
Tomas Barrios Vera
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Franco Roncadelli
0–2
Tomas Barrios Vera
(2 last)
- 06 Oct0-2 6-12L
- 14 Nov0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Franco Roncadelli 1572 · Tomas Barrios Vera 1477
| Franco Roncadelli | Tomas Barrios Vera | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Franco Roncadelli (rating 1572 vs 1477).
- Franco Roncadelli is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Franco Roncadelli 0–2 Tomas Barrios Vera (2).
Statistics
| Franco Roncadelli | Tomas Barrios Vera | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-9.3 | 13-13 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 0.9 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 63.6% | 65.8% |
| Break % | 56% | 42.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
H2H · Franco Roncadelli 0 – 2 Tomas Barrios Vera (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Franco Roncadelli 0–2 Tomas Barrios Vera
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10/26 Challenger Antofagasta | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/11/25 Challenger Montevideo | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Franco Roncadelli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Lima · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/11 | Alan Magadan Challenger Lima · Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/11 | Alessandro Rubini Challenger Lima · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 09/11 | Juan Sebastian Gomez Challenger Lima · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/11 | Ricardo Sebastian Ramos Vargas Challenger Lima · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/11 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/11 | Rafael Tosetto Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 27/10 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 16/10 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 15/10 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
Tomas Barrios Vera
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Lima · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 04/11 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 02/11 | Henrique Rocha Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/10 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Juan Estevez Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/10 | Nicolas Jarry Challenger Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 08/10 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 06/10 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/10 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 02/10 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Franco Roncadelli vs Tomas Barrios Vera?
Our model gives 51% to Franco Roncadelli, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

