Tennis · Challenger Montevideo · 16/11, 17:00
Prediction: Guido Ivan Justo vs Daniel Rincon
Team pages: Guido Ivan Justo · Daniel Rincon
Prediction summary
Winner
Guido Ivan Justo
Daniel Rincon
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Guido Ivan Justo
6-4 (W-L)
Daniel Rincon
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Guido Ivan Justo 1584 · Daniel Rincon 1478
| Guido Ivan Justo | Daniel Rincon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guido Ivan Justo (rating 1584 vs 1478).
- Guido Ivan Justo is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Guido Ivan Justo | Daniel Rincon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-9.7 | 11.1-10.4 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 67.3% | 75.2% |
| Break % | 46.3% | 53.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Guido Ivan Justo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/10 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 14-7 | W |
| 06/10 | Francisco Comesana Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 04/10 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/10 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 02/10 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/10 | Pedro Sakamoto Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/09 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Facundo Mena Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Daniel Rincon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Santiago De La Fuente Challenger Lima · Clay |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 14/10 | Michael Mmoh Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/10 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/10 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/10 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/10 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Laslo Djere Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/09 | Fausto Tabacco Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/09 | Dino Prizmic Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Rennes · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Guido Ivan Justo vs Daniel Rincon?
Our model gives 56% to Guido Ivan Justo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.