Tennis · Challenger Montevideo · 16/11, 17:00
Prediction: Henrique Rocha vs Federico Aguilar Cardozo
Team pages: Henrique Rocha · Federico Aguilar Cardozo
Prediction summary
Winner
Henrique Rocha
Federico Aguilar Cardozo
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Henrique Rocha
6-4 (W-L)
Federico Aguilar Cardozo
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Henrique Rocha 1479 · Federico Aguilar Cardozo 1533
| Henrique Rocha | Federico Aguilar Cardozo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Federico Aguilar Cardozo (rating 1479 vs 1533).
Statistics
| Henrique Rocha | Federico Aguilar Cardozo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-11 | 12.7-10.1 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 62.8% | 59% |
| Break % | 48.1% | 45.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Henrique Rocha
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Lima · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/11 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/10 | Elmer Moller Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 19/10 | Dali Blanch Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/10 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Maia · Clay |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 04/10 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 02/10 | August Holmgren Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/10 | Mili Poljicak Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/09 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Federico Aguilar Cardozo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Juan Estevez M15 Roldan |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 04/11 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/11 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 01/11 | Thiago Pernas Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/10 | Santiago Franchini UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/10 | Rocco Valente UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 07/10 | Nereo Suarez UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/10 | Fantino Alberca De Las Casas UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/10 | Pablo Mikito Mitoma UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 21/09 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Henrique Rocha vs Federico Aguilar Cardozo?
Our model gives 67% to Henrique Rocha, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.