Tennis · Challenger Montevideo · 16/11, 17:00
Prediction: Matias Soto vs Alex Barrena
Team pages: Matias Soto · Alex Barrena
Prediction summary
Winner
Matias Soto
Alex Barrena
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Matias Soto
6-4 (W-L)
Alex Barrena
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matias Soto 1520 · Alex Barrena 1550
| Matias Soto | Alex Barrena | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Matias Soto | Alex Barrena | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-8 | 11.6-8 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 72.7% | 67.7% |
| Break % | 43.8% | 62.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matias Soto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes M15 Zamora |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/11 | Alexander Bernard M15 Zamora |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/11 | Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado M15 Zamora |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/11 | Frazier Rengifo M25 Guadalajara |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/10 | Frazier Rengifo M15 Mazatlan |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/10 | Joaquin Guilleme M15 Mazatlan |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/10 | Mauricio Schtulmann Gasca M15 Mazatlan |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/10 | Lance A L Castelan M15 Mazatlan |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/10 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Samuel Heredia Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Alex Barrena
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Fabio Zavalaga Uculmana Challenger Lima · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/10 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/10 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 13/10 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 06/10 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/09 | Facundo Mena Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/09 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/09 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/09 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Valentin Garay Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matias Soto vs Alex Barrena?
Our model gives 60% to Alex Barrena, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.