Tennis · Challenger Drummondville · 16/11, 17:00
Prediction: Duncan Chan vs Michael Mmoh
Team pages: Duncan Chan · Michael Mmoh
Prediction summary
Winner
Duncan Chan
Michael Mmoh
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Duncan Chan
3-7 (W-L)
Michael Mmoh
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Duncan Chan 1441 · Michael Mmoh 1542
| Duncan Chan | Michael Mmoh | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Michael Mmoh (rating 1441 vs 1542).
- Michael Mmoh is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Duncan Chan | Michael Mmoh | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.6 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-12.8 | 11.5-9.5 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 5.4 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 66.1% | 68% |
| Break % | 63.8% | 48% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Duncan Chan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Liam Draxl Challenger Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/11 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 26/10 | Benjamin Willwerth Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 19/10 | Gavin Young Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 18/10 | Roger Pascual Ferra Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 29/09 | Colton Smith Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Keaton Hance Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/09 | Denis Petak Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 19/08 | Taro Daniel Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
Michael Mmoh
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/11 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/10 | Jan Kumstat ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 16/10 | Luca Nardi Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/10 | Laslo Djere Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/09 | Laslo Djere Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 20/09 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/09 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Duncan Chan vs Michael Mmoh?
Our model gives 70% to Michael Mmoh, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.