Tennis · Challenger Drummondville · 16/11, 17:00
Prediction: Keegan Rice vs Liam Draxl
Team pages: Keegan Rice · Liam Draxl
Prediction summary
Winner
Keegan Rice
Liam Draxl
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Keegan Rice
6-4 (W-L)
Liam Draxl
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Keegan Rice
1–2
Liam Draxl
(3 last)
- 10 Jul2-0 12-7W
- 03 Jul0-2 7-12L
- 27 Oct0-2 3-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Keegan Rice 1493 · Liam Draxl 1576
| Keegan Rice | Liam Draxl | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Liam Draxl (rating 1493 vs 1576).
- Head-to-head: Keegan Rice 1–2 Liam Draxl (3).
- Note: Keegan Rice makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Keegan Rice | Liam Draxl | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-12.8 | 12.6-11.5 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 5.2 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 62.1% | 66.7% |
| Break % | 53.3% | 49.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
H2H · Keegan Rice 1 – 2 Liam Draxl (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Keegan Rice 1–2 Liam Draxl
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07/26 M25 Laval | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/07/24 M25 Laval | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/10/22 ITF M25 Saint-Augustin | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Keegan Rice
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Sander Jong Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 01/08 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Mark Lajal Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 29/07 | Harry Wendelken Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 29/07 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 23/07 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 21/07 | Nicolas Arseneault Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/07 | Arthur Gea Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Alexander Rozin Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Liam Draxl
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Knoxville · Hard |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 11/11 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/11 | Duncan Chan Challenger Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/11 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/11 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 31/10 | Sebastian Dominko Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 31/10 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 27/10 | Tomasz Berkieta Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 17/10 | Martin Landaluce Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/10 | Tomas Machac Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Keegan Rice vs Liam Draxl?
Our model gives 66% to Liam Draxl, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.