Tennis · Challenger Drummondville · 16/11, 17:00

Prediction: Hynek Barton vs Alexis Galarneau

Team pages: Hynek Barton · Alexis Galarneau

Prediction summary
Winner
57% 43%
Hynek Barton Alexis Galarneau
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Hynek Barton 5-5 (W-L)
LLWWWWLLLW
Alexis Galarneau 3-7 (W-L)
WWLWLLLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hynek Barton 1466 · Alexis Galarneau 1413
Hynek BartonAlexis Galarneau
Our model58%42%
Market56%44%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hynek Barton (rating 1466 vs 1413).

Statistics

Hynek BartonAlexis Galarneau
Win %40%20%
Win % · Hard 38% (8) 20% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.40.6-1.6
Games (G-P)12.1-12.49.1-12.5
Aces7.64.1
Double faults3.23.1
1st serve %75.2%62.9%
Break %39.4%37.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hynek Barton

WLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/11 Lui Maxted
Challenger Knoxville · Hard
1-2 14-18 L
02/11 Jack Kennedy
Challenger Charlottesville · Hard
1-2 14-14 L
27/10 Aidan Mayo
Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
09/10 Laslo Djere
Challenger Villena · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
08/10 Max Hans Rehberg
Challenger Villena · Hard
2-1 19-14 W
07/10 Toby Samuel
Challenger Villena · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
05/10 Petr Nesterov
Challenger Villena · Hard
1-2 11-15 L
04/10 Stefan Latinov
Challenger Villena · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
17/09 Zdenek Kolar
Challenger Szczecin · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
15/09 Raul Brancaccio
Challenger Szczecin · Clay
2-1 16-9 W

Alexis Galarneau

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/11 Stefan Kozlov
Challenger Knoxville · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
03/11 Daniel Milavsky
Challenger Charlottesville · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
27/10 Mees Rottgering
Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
05/10 Roman Safiullin
ATP Shanghai · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
30/09 Lloyd Harris
Challenger Jingshan · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
23/09 Lloyd Harris
ATP Chengdu · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
22/09 Elias Ymer
ATP Chengdu · Hard
2-0 14-11 W
15/09 Fajing Sun
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
1-2 16-17 L
11/09 Pavel Kotov
Challenger Shanghai · Hard
1-2 8-15 L
09/09 Linang Xiao
Challenger Shanghai · Hard
2-0 12-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hynek Barton vs Alexis Galarneau?

Our model gives 57% to Hynek Barton, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.