Tennis · Challenger Drummondville · 16/11, 17:00

Prediction: Darwin Blanch vs Colin Sinclair

Team pages: Darwin Blanch · Colin Sinclair

Prediction summary
Winner
74% 26%
Darwin Blanch Colin Sinclair
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Darwin Blanch 5-5 (W-L)
WWWLWLLWLL
Colin Sinclair 3-7 (W-L)
LWLLLWWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Darwin Blanch 1518 · Colin Sinclair 1465
Darwin BlanchColin Sinclair
Our model58%42%
Market88%12%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Darwin Blanch (rating 1518 vs 1465).
  • Darwin Blanch dominates on serve: 6.7 aces and 48.9% break avg.

Statistics

Darwin BlanchColin Sinclair
Win %60%40%
Win % · Hard 60% (10) 25% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.90.9-1.5
Games (G-P)10.8-1011.4-13.3
Aces6.79.4
Double faults2.21.3
1st serve %76.1%72%
Break %48.9%30.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Darwin Blanch

WLWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/11 Alastair Gray
Challenger Knoxville · Hard
0-2 6-11 L
04/11 Braden Shick
Challenger Charlottesville · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
03/11 Andrew Fenty
Challenger Charlottesville · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
31/10 Liam Draxl
Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard
1-2 9-15 L
30/10 Mitchell Krueger
Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard
2-1 19-16 W
28/10 Sebastian Gorzny
Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
25/10 Jenson Brooksby
Challenger Fort Worth · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
24/10 Sander Jong
Challenger Fort Worth · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
23/10 Mees Rottgering
Challenger Fort Worth · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
21/10 Daniel Milavsky
Challenger Fort Worth · Hard
2-0 12-5 W

Colin Sinclair

WLWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/11 Timo Legout
Challenger Knoxville · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
08/10 Hayden Jones
M25 Darwin
0-2 12-14 L
07/10 Lachlan Vickery
M25 Darwin
2-1 16-12 W
02/10 Casey Hoole
M25 Darwin
1-2 11-16 L
01/10 Chen Dong
M25 Darwin
2-0 13-10 W
30/09 Stefan Vujic
M25 Darwin
2-1 18-14 W
23/09 Zijiang Yang
M25 Yinchuan
0-2 9-13 L
16/09 Rio Noguchi
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
14/09 Linang Xiao
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
2-1 14-16 W
09/09 Boxiong Zhang
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 11-14 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Darwin Blanch vs Colin Sinclair?

Our model gives 74% to Darwin Blanch, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.