Tennis · Challenger Sydney · 16/11, 01:30
Prediction: Derek Pham vs Pavle Marinkov
Team pages: Derek Pham · Pavle Marinkov
Prediction summary
Winner
Derek Pham
Pavle Marinkov
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Derek Pham
5-5 (W-L)
Pavle Marinkov
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Derek Pham
0–1
Pavle Marinkov
(1 last)
- 08 Nov1-2 12-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Derek Pham 1497 · Pavle Marinkov 1465
| Derek Pham | Pavle Marinkov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Derek Pham 0–1 Pavle Marinkov (1).
Statistics
| Derek Pham | Pavle Marinkov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 0.6-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-10.9 | 8.6-11.3 |
| Aces | 5.9 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 71.3% | 64.1% |
| Break % | 39.7% | 23.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
H2H · Derek Pham 0 – 1 Pavle Marinkov (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Derek Pham 0–1 Pavle Marinkov
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 Challenger Brisbane | 1-2 | 12-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Derek Pham
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11 | Tai Leonard Sach Challenger Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/11 | Pavle Marinkov Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 28/10 | Jeremy Beale M25 Tamworth |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Stefan Vujic M25 Tamworth |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/10 | Ethan Cook M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/10 | Zane Stevens M25 Darwin |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 07/10 | Scott Jones M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/10 | Hayden Jones M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/10 | Jake Delaney M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/10 | Jeremy Beale M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
Pavle Marinkov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11 | Ajeet Rai Challenger Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/11 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/11 | Derek Pham Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 28/10 | Blake Ellis M25 Tamworth |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Philip Sekulic M25 Tamworth |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Christian Langmo Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/07 | Mikael Arseneault Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Yibing Wu Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Ronit Karki Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Christian Langmo M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Derek Pham vs Pavle Marinkov?
Our model gives 52% to Derek Pham, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.