Tennis · Challenger Drummondville · 16/11, 17:00
Prediction: Dylan Dietrich vs Petr Nesterov
Team pages: Dylan Dietrich · Petr Nesterov
Prediction summary
Winner
Dylan Dietrich
Petr Nesterov
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Dylan Dietrich
8-2 (W-L)
Petr Nesterov
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dylan Dietrich 1619 · Petr Nesterov 1498
| Dylan Dietrich | Petr Nesterov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dylan Dietrich (rating 1619 vs 1498).
- Dylan Dietrich dominates on serve: 6 aces and 45.6% break avg.
- Dylan Dietrich is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Dylan Dietrich | Petr Nesterov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.3 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-7.9 | 11.5-11.6 |
| Aces | 6 | 6 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 76.6% | 68.7% |
| Break % | 45.6% | 33.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dylan Dietrich
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Marcos Giron Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/11 | Liam Draxl Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 31/10 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/10 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/10 | Jenson Brooksby Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/10 | Colton Smith Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/10 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/10 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/09 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/09 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Petr Nesterov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Liam Draxl Challenger Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/11 | Timo Legout Challenger Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 03/11 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/10 | Christian Langmo Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Challenger Villena · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 06/10 | Carles Hernandez Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/10 | Hynek Barton Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 04/10 | Charles Chen Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 29/09 | Goncalo Marques Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 28/09 | Marko Topo Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dylan Dietrich vs Petr Nesterov?
Our model gives 75% to Dylan Dietrich, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.