Tennis · Challenger Drummondville · 16/11, 17:00
Prediction: Braden Shick vs Aidan Mayo
Team pages: Braden Shick · Aidan Mayo
Prediction summary
Winner
Braden Shick
Aidan Mayo
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Braden Shick
3-7 (W-L)
Aidan Mayo
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Braden Shick
1–0
Aidan Mayo
(1 last)
- 04 Jun2-1 14-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Braden Shick 1464 · Aidan Mayo 1564
| Braden Shick | Aidan Mayo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aidan Mayo (rating 1464 vs 1564).
- Aidan Mayo dominates on serve: 6.9 aces and 46.4% break avg.
- Aidan Mayo is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Braden Shick 1–0 Aidan Mayo (1).
Statistics
| Braden Shick | Aidan Mayo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.6 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-13 | 12.2-9.3 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 6.9 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 65.8% | 77.2% |
| Break % | 31.7% | 46.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
H2H · Braden Shick 1 – 0 Aidan Mayo (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Braden Shick 1–0 Aidan Mayo
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06/26 Challenger Tyler | 2-1 | 14-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Braden Shick
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/11 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 06/11 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/11 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/10 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Gabriel Debru Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 30/09 | Mees Rottgering Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Ozan Baris Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 21/09 | Patrick Maloney Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
Aidan Mayo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Michael Mmoh Challenger Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/11 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 06/11 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/11 | Alastair Gray Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/11 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/11 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/11 | Duncan Chan Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 31/10 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/10 | Mees Rottgering Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/10 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Braden Shick vs Aidan Mayo?
Our model gives 68% to Aidan Mayo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.