Tennis · Challenger Kobe · 16/11, 03:00
Prediction: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Takuya Kumasaka
Team pages: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine · Takuya Kumasaka
Prediction summary
Winner
Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
Takuya Kumasaka
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
4-6 (W-L)
Takuya Kumasaka
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine 1477 · Takuya Kumasaka 1533
| Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | Takuya Kumasaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Takuya Kumasaka (rating 1477 vs 1533).
- Takuya Kumasaka is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | Takuya Kumasaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-11.2 | 10.6-7.4 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| 1st serve % | 67.8% | 67% |
| Break % | 31.7% | 42.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11 | Nitin Kumar Sinha Challenger Kobe · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/11 | Shintaro Imai Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/10 | Volodymyr Iakubenko M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 28/10 | Jakub Krawczyk M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/10 | Sergey Petrov M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Alessandro Battiston M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 15/10 | Sergey Petrov M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Jan Wygona M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/09 | Leonardo Rossi Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 17/09 | Cruz Hewitt Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Takuya Kumasaka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Yi Zhou Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 09/11 | Luca Staeheli Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/11 | Yuta Tomida Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/10 | Taiyo Yamanaka M15 Yanagawa City |
1-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/10 | Sora Fukuda M15 Yanagawa City |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/10 | Ryota Tanuma M15 Yanagawa City |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/10 | Kentaro Otsuka M15 Yanagawa City |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 24/10 | Yuto Oki M15 Tanagura |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 23/10 | Yusuke Kusuhara M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/10 | Noritaka Koizumi M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Takuya Kumasaka?
Our model gives 60% to Takuya Kumasaka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.