Tennis · Challenger Champaign · 15/11, 20:00
Prediction: David Bakonyi vs Axel Nefve
Team pages: David Bakonyi · Axel Nefve
Prediction summary
Winner
David Bakonyi
Axel Nefve
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
David Bakonyi
3-7 (W-L)
Axel Nefve
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · David Bakonyi 1450 · Axel Nefve 1502
| David Bakonyi | Axel Nefve | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Axel Nefve (rating 1450 vs 1502).
- Note: David Bakonyi makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| David Bakonyi | Axel Nefve | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (3) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.4 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-10.1 | 11.5-11.4 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.4% | 69% |
| Break % | 36% | 30.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
David Bakonyi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Nathan Ponwith M15 Champaign |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Leyton Rivera M15 Poprad |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Jan Klimas M15 Poprad |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/08 | Andriy Poritskyy M15 Poprad |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/07 | Erik Schiessl M15 Wels |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Fares Zakaria M25 Ollersbach |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Vyacheslav Ovchinnikov M25 Ollersbach |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/06 | Kolos Kincses M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 02/06 | Lorenzo Angelini M15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/05 | Milan Ristov UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Axel Nefve
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Cannon Kingsley M25 Montreal |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 10/11 | Alvin Nicholas Tudorica M25 Montreal |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 04/11 | Anuj Watane M15 Hilton Head Island |
1-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 06/10 | Alec Beckley M25 Kigali |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Alec Beckley M25 Kigali |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 14/08 | Karl Poling M25 East Lansing |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Joshua Peck M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/08 | Sebastian Gorzny M25 East Lansing |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 11/08 | Alexander Petrov M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/08 | Cruz Hewitt M25 Southaven |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in David Bakonyi vs Axel Nefve?
Our model gives 73% to Axel Nefve, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.