Tennis · W75 Sydney · 16/11, 02:00
Prediction: Naiktha Bains vs Valentina Ivanov
Team pages: Naiktha Bains · Valentina Ivanov
Prediction summary
Winner
Naiktha Bains
Valentina Ivanov
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Naiktha Bains
5-5 (W-L)
Valentina Ivanov
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Naiktha Bains 1517 · Valentina Ivanov 1571
| Naiktha Bains | Valentina Ivanov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valentina Ivanov (rating 1517 vs 1571).
- Note: Valentina Ivanov makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Naiktha Bains | Valentina Ivanov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-8.9 | 10.6-8 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 62.6% | 60.6% |
| Break % | 48.4% | 52.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Naiktha Bains
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11 | Ashleigh Simes W75 Sydney |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/11 | Zhuoxuan Bai W75 Brisbane |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/11 | Sohyun Park W75 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/10 | Hikaru Sato W35 Sydney |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 22/10 | Alana Subasic W35 Sydney |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/10 | Natsuho Arakawa W35 Sydney |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/10 | Polona Hercog W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 30/09 | Maria Martinez Vaquero W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 24/09 | Reese Brantmeier WTA Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Sahaja Yamalapalli WTA Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Valentina Ivanov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11 | Jizelle Sibai W75 Sydney |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/11 | Wushuang Zheng W75 Brisbane |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/11 | Ava Beck W75 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 04/10 | Charo Esquiva Banuls W35 Baza |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Celia Cervino Ruiz W35 Baza |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/10 | Juliana Giaccio W35 Baza |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/10 | Alba Maria Coromina Boluda W35 Baza |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/09 | Ana Candiotto W35 Baza |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Tiphanie Lemaitre W50 Yecla |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Gabriella Da Silva Fick W50 Evora |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Naiktha Bains vs Valentina Ivanov?
Our model gives 53% to Naiktha Bains, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.