Tennis · Challenger Champaign · 15/11, 18:30
Prediction: Colson Wells vs Zach Stephens
Team pages: Colson Wells · Zach Stephens
Prediction summary
Winner
Colson Wells
Zach Stephens
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Colson Wells
4-6 (W-L)
Zach Stephens
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Colson Wells 1531 · Zach Stephens 1493
| Colson Wells | Zach Stephens | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Colson Wells | Zach Stephens | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-11.2 | 9.2-9.9 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 66.7% | 55.2% |
| Break % | 54.3% | 52.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Colson Wells
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Felix Corwin M15 Champaign |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 23/08 | Max Sheldon UTR Pro East Lansing · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 22/08 | Lincoln Battle UTR Pro East Lansing · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 21/08 | Nischal Spurling UTR Pro East Lansing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/08 | Thomas Nelson UTR Pro East Lansing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/08 | Alfred Almasi UTR Pro East Lansing · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 17/08 | Evan Burnett UTR Pro East Lansing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/08 | Jelani Sarr M25 East Lansing |
1-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Jelani Sarr M25 Champaign |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Alberto Altur Fernandez UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Zach Stephens
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Niels Hoffmann UTR Pro Malibu · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/11 | William McEwan UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 03/11 | George Hakopian UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Karl Kazuma Lee UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/10 | Constantinos Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 16/10 | Corey Craig UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 14/10 | Adam Chodur UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/10 | Lawee Sherif UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/10 | Jason Huang UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/10 | Piotr Siekanowicz UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Colson Wells vs Zach Stephens?
Our model gives 57% to Colson Wells, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.