Tennis · Challenger Drummondville · 16/11, 00:00
Prediction: Maximilian Marterer vs Ben Jones
Team pages: Maximilian Marterer · Ben Jones
Prediction summary
Winner
Maximilian Marterer
Ben Jones
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Maximilian Marterer
8-2 (W-L)
Ben Jones
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maximilian Marterer 1598 · Ben Jones 1456
| Maximilian Marterer | Ben Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maximilian Marterer (rating 1598 vs 1456).
- Maximilian Marterer is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Maximilian Marterer | Ben Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 20% |
| Win % · Grass | – | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.4 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-6.8 | 10.9-14.3 |
| Aces | 5 | 6.8 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 76.1% | 69.4% |
| Break % | 45.1% | 9.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maximilian Marterer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11 | Theodore Dean M25 Montreal |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/11 | Max Wiskandt M25 Montreal |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/11 | Alexander Rozin M25 Montreal |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/11 | Benjamin Thomas George M25 Montreal |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/10 | Johannus Monday M25 Sheffield |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Finn Murgett M25 Sheffield |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/10 | Arthur Nagel M25 Sarreguemines |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Thijs Boogaard M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/10 | Arthur Bouquier M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/10 | Tom Paris M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Ben Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Kokoro Isomura Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 08/06 | Oliver Okonkwo Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 08/06 | Yi Zhou Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/06 | Filippo Romano Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 31/05 | Keegan Smith Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 26/04 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Jiujiang · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 12/04 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Busan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/04 | Yuki Mochizuki Challenger Wuning · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 22/03 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Split · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/03 | Sergi Perez Contri Challenger Zadar · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maximilian Marterer vs Ben Jones?
Our model gives 77% to Maximilian Marterer, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.