Tennis · Challenger Drummondville · 15/11, 20:00
Prediction: Jared Horwood vs Jannik Opitz
Team pages: Jared Horwood · Jannik Opitz
Prediction summary
Winner
Jared Horwood
Jannik Opitz
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Jared Horwood
3-7 (W-L)
Jannik Opitz
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jared Horwood 1448 · Jannik Opitz 1536
| Jared Horwood | Jannik Opitz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jannik Opitz (rating 1448 vs 1536).
- Jannik Opitz dominates on serve: 6.9 aces and 46.9% break avg.
- Jannik Opitz is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Jannik Opitz makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Jared Horwood | Jannik Opitz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-10.4 | 11.7-11.1 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 6.9 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 68.9% | 79.8% |
| Break % | 48.1% | 46.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jared Horwood
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Jake Fellows M25 Montreal |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 09/11 | Steven McCartney M25 Montreal |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/11 | Tiago Pires M15 Trois-Rivieres |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/10 | Marcus Walters M25 Sheffield |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Roan Jones M25 Redbridge |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 19/10 | Carl Holder M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/10 | Harry Jordan M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/09 | Michael Wright M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/07 | James Trotter Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/07 | Niels Peter Van Noord M25 Laval |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
Jannik Opitz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11 | Cannon Kingsley M25 Montreal |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 12/11 | Amit Vales M25 Montreal |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/11 | Miko Lapalme M25 Montreal |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/10 | Sebastian Gima M25 Slobozia |
1-2 | 7-15 | L |
| 01/10 | Ryo Tabata M25 Slobozia |
1-0 | 7-6 | W |
| 29/09 | Tymur Bieldiugin M25 Slobozia |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 31/08 | Nikita Mashtakov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Stefan Horia Haita Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/08 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 09/08 | Ryan Nijboer Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jared Horwood vs Jannik Opitz?
Our model gives 76% to Jannik Opitz, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.