Tennis · Challenger Montevideo · 15/11, 17:00
Prediction: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Nicolas Barrientos
Team pages: Gonzalo Villanueva · Nicolas Barrientos
Prediction summary
Winner
Gonzalo Villanueva
Nicolas Barrientos
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Gonzalo Villanueva
2-8 (W-L)
Nicolas Barrientos
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Gonzalo Villanueva
0–2
Nicolas Barrientos
(2 last)
- 21 Mar1-2 11-15L
- 09 Dec0-2 7-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gonzalo Villanueva 1423 · Nicolas Barrientos 1500
| Gonzalo Villanueva | Nicolas Barrientos | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nicolas Barrientos (rating 1423 vs 1500).
- Nicolas Barrientos is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Gonzalo Villanueva 0–2 Nicolas Barrientos (2).
- Note: Gonzalo Villanueva makes many double faults (4/match).
- Note: Nicolas Barrientos makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Gonzalo Villanueva | Nicolas Barrientos | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 22% (9) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.7 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-13.5 | 9.9-11.3 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 4 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 64% | 63.3% |
| Break % | 39% | 41.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
H2H · Gonzalo Villanueva 0 – 2 Nicolas Barrientos (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gonzalo Villanueva 0–2 Nicolas Barrientos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/22 Challenger Santa Cruz | 1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 09/12/21 Challenger Florianopolis | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gonzalo Villanueva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Carlos Maria Zarate Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/10 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 14/10 | Carlos Maria Zarate Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 05/10 | Nick Hardt Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 02/10 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Mateus Alves Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 22/09 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 29/08 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 Mar Del Plata |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
Nicolas Barrientos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Alan Magadan Challenger Lima · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/10 | Sergi Perez Contri Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 30/08 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Stefan Adrian Andreescu Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/04 | Fabrizio Andaloro Challenger Cagliari · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/03 | Christoph Negritu Challenger Alicante · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/11 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/11 | Alex Hernandez Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/11 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gonzalo Villanueva vs Nicolas Barrientos?
Our model gives 57% to Gonzalo Villanueva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.