Tennis · Challenger Montevideo · 15/11, 17:00
Prediction: Nicolas Hollender vs Ryan Nijboer
Team pages: Nicolas Hollender · Ryan Nijboer
Prediction summary
Winner
Nicolas Hollender
Ryan Nijboer
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Nicolas Hollender
4-6 (W-L)
Ryan Nijboer
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicolas Hollender 1430 · Ryan Nijboer 1479
| Nicolas Hollender | Ryan Nijboer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 8% | 92% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ryan Nijboer (rating 1430 vs 1479).
- Ryan Nijboer is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Ryan Nijboer makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Nicolas Hollender | Ryan Nijboer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (8) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.7 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.5-12.1 | 12.3-11.9 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 4 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 65.3% | 65.2% |
| Break % | 35.1% | 35.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicolas Hollender
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Juan Sebastian Gomez M15 Quito · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/10 | Manuel Mouilleron Salvo M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 05/10 | Alberto Odiseo Alvarado Berrospi M15 Quito · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Livas Eduardo De Carvalho Damazio M25 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Segundo Goity Zapico M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-9 | L |
| 28/04 | Juan Sebastian Osorio M15 Quito · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Angel Veliz M15 Quito · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/04 | Glauco Pinheiro Da Cruz Junior M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/03 | Victor Braga Challenger Sao Paulo · Clay |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 06/02 | Stefan Cooper M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Ryan Nijboer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Filip Misolic Challenger Lima · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/11 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/11 | Lorenzo Gagliardo Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 26/10 | Lorenzo Claverie Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/10 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Maia · Clay |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 11/10 | Javier Barranco Cosano Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/10 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Mackenzie McDonald Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 05/10 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/10 | Nico Hipfl Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicolas Hollender vs Ryan Nijboer?
Our model gives 76% to Ryan Nijboer, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.