Tennis · Challenger Metz · 17/11, 10:00
Prediction: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Max Houkes
Team pages: Nikoloz Basilashvili · Max Houkes
Prediction summary
Winner
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Max Houkes
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Nikoloz Basilashvili
8-2 (W-L)
Max Houkes
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Nikoloz Basilashvili
1–0
Max Houkes
(1 last)
- 11 Feb2-0 12-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nikoloz Basilashvili 1564 · Max Houkes 1536
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | Max Houkes | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Nikoloz Basilashvili dominates on serve: 8.5 aces and 43.7% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Nikoloz Basilashvili 1–0 Max Houkes (1).
Statistics
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | Max Houkes | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.6-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-9.9 | 13.2-10.6 |
| Aces | 8.5 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 78.3% | 73.4% |
| Break % | 43.7% | 50.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
H2H · Nikoloz Basilashvili 1 – 0 Max Houkes (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nikoloz Basilashvili 1–0 Max Houkes
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/23 ATP Rotterdam | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nikoloz Basilashvili
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Borna Gojo ATP Stockholm · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/11 | Francesco Passaro ATP Stockholm · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/10 | Carlos Alcaraz Garfia ATP Vienna · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/10 | Jurij Rodionov ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/10 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Almaty · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 24/10 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 23/10 | Adrian Mannarino ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/10 | Facundo Diaz Acosta ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/10 | Marin Cilic ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/10 | Adam Walton ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Max Houkes
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Orleans · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 02/11 | Michael Vrbensky Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/11 | Dominik Macej Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 22/10 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Florence · Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 19/10 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 11/10 | Dev Javia M25 Kigali |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 10/10 | Calvin Hemery M25 Kigali |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 09/10 | Alec Beckley M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 9-3 | W |
| 08/10 | Manuel Plunger M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/10 | Rodrigo Alujas M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Max Houkes?
Our model gives 71% to Nikoloz Basilashvili, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.