Tennis · Challenger Metz · 17/11, 10:00
Prediction: Matej Dodig vs Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Team pages: Matej Dodig · Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Prediction summary
Winner
Matej Dodig
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Matej Dodig
8-2 (W-L)
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matej Dodig 1566 · Inaki Montes-De La Torre 1500
| Matej Dodig | Inaki Montes-De La Torre | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matej Dodig (rating 1566 vs 1500).
- Note: Inaki Montes-De La Torre makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Matej Dodig | Inaki Montes-De La Torre | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-10.3 | 11.3-10 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 1 |
| Double faults | 1 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 69.3% | 68.4% |
| Break % | 37.3% | 47.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matej Dodig
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Jerome Kym Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/11 | Laslo Djere Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/11 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/11 | Michal Krajci Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/10 | Marco Trungelliti Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 20/10 | Joao Domingues Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/10 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Maia · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 16/10 | Tristan Boyer Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/10 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Stockholm · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/11 | Damir Dzumhur ATP Stockholm · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/11 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Taranto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Toby Samuel Challenger Brest · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Henrique Rocha Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 03/10 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/10 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Luca Potenza Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/09 | Alec Deckers M25 Setubal |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 26/09 | Michael Agwi M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matej Dodig vs Inaki Montes-De La Torre?
Our model gives 61% to Matej Dodig, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.