Tennis · Challenger Sydney · 16/11, 00:00
Prediction: Evan Zhu vs Dominik Palan
Team pages: Evan Zhu · Dominik Palan
Prediction summary
Winner
Evan Zhu
Dominik Palan
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Evan Zhu
5-5 (W-L)
Dominik Palan
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Evan Zhu 1472 · Dominik Palan 1486
| Evan Zhu | Dominik Palan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Dominik Palan dominates on serve: 9.2 aces and 65.9% break avg.
- Note: Dominik Palan makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Evan Zhu | Dominik Palan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (9) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-11.8 | 12.3-13.5 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 9.2 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 66.2% | 73.6% |
| Break % | 28.5% | 65.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Evan Zhu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11 | Daniel Jovanovski Challenger Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/11 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 02/11 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Taipei · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/10 | Yeonsu Jeong Challenger Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Max Purcell Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Yaojie Zeng Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/10 | Egor Pleshivtsev M25 Qian Daohu |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 08/10 | Alibek Kachmazov Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 06/10 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/10 | Alex Bolt Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Dominik Palan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11 | Harrison Satara Challenger Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/11 | Anton Shepp Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/11 | Shinji Hazawa Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 01/11 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Taipei · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 25/10 | Egor Pleshivtsev Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 20/10 | Liam Broady Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 19/10 | Semen Pankin Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/10 | Arthur Weber Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 14/10 | Sergey Fomin M25 Qian Daohu |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 06/10 | Keisuke Saitoh Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Evan Zhu vs Dominik Palan?
Our model gives 56% to Evan Zhu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.