Tennis · Challenger Metz · 17/11, 10:00
Prediction: Maxim Mrva vs Kyrian Jacquet
Team pages: Maxim Mrva · Kyrian Jacquet
Prediction summary
Winner
Maxim Mrva
Kyrian Jacquet
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Maxim Mrva
6-4 (W-L)
Kyrian Jacquet
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maxim Mrva 1517 · Kyrian Jacquet 1505
| Maxim Mrva | Kyrian Jacquet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Maxim Mrva | Kyrian Jacquet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-12.6 | 11.7-11.6 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 9.8 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 63.3% | 77.8% |
| Break % | 48.4% | 38.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maxim Mrva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Taranto · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 05/11 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 03/11 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/10 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert ATP Lyon · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 18/10 | Dusan Lajovic ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/10 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 15/10 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/09 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Nikita Mashtakov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 03/09 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Kyrian Jacquet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Nishesh Basavareddy Challenger Orleans · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 10/11 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Orleans · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/11 | Tomas Machac ATP Paris · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/10 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Lyon · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Matteo Berrettini ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 18/10 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/10 | Rei Sakamoto ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 05/10 | Tianhui Zhang ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/10 | Jaume Munar ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Luciano Darderi ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maxim Mrva vs Kyrian Jacquet?
Our model gives 62% to Kyrian Jacquet, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.