Tennis · Challenger Metz · 17/11, 10:00
Prediction: Vitaliy Sachko vs Soonwoo Kwon
Team pages: Vitaliy Sachko · Soonwoo Kwon
Prediction summary
Winner
Vitaliy Sachko
Soonwoo Kwon
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Vitaliy Sachko
7-3 (W-L)
Soonwoo Kwon
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vitaliy Sachko 1487 · Soonwoo Kwon 1551
| Vitaliy Sachko | Soonwoo Kwon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Soonwoo Kwon (rating 1487 vs 1551).
- Soonwoo Kwon is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Soonwoo Kwon makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Vitaliy Sachko | Soonwoo Kwon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.7-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-10.8 | 14.5-11.7 |
| Aces | 5.2 | 7.4 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 6 |
| 1st serve % | 73.6% | 78% |
| Break % | 37.4% | 37.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vitaliy Sachko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Dalibor Svrcina Challenger Orleans · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 04/11 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/10 | Borna Gojo ATP Lyon · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/10 | Otto Virtanen ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/10 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Bari · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 30/09 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/09 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/09 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 15/09 | Filip Cristian Jianu Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/09 | Mika Brunold Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Soonwoo Kwon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Sumit Nagal Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/09 | Dhakshineswar Suresh Davis Cup |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 20/08 | Shintaro Mochizuki Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 18/08 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/08 | Keegan Smith Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 11/08 | Quentin Halys ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 03/08 | Aidan Kim Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 02/08 | Gavin Young Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Arthur Gea ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vitaliy Sachko vs Soonwoo Kwon?
Our model gives 62% to Soonwoo Kwon, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.