Tennis · Challenger Metz · 17/11, 10:00
Prediction: Benjamin Bonzi vs Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Team pages: Benjamin Bonzi · Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Prediction summary
Winner
Benjamin Bonzi
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Estimated games
23.7
Recent form · 10 last
Benjamin Bonzi
5-5 (W-L)
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Benjamin Bonzi
0–1
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
(1 last)
- 30 Jan1-2 14-19L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Benjamin Bonzi 1489 · Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg 1525
| Benjamin Bonzi | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Benjamin Bonzi 0–1 Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg (1).
Statistics
| Benjamin Bonzi | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.4 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-12.5 | 11.4-12 |
| Aces | 10.2 | 11 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 76.5% | 75.7% |
| Break % | 33.6% | 36% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7
H2H · Benjamin Bonzi 0 – 1 Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Benjamin Bonzi 0–1 Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/01/26 Challenger Quimper | 1-2 | 14-19 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Benjamin Bonzi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Orleans · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/11 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger Orleans · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/11 | Taylor Fritz ATP Paris · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 01/11 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Paris · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 31/10 | Tallon Griekspoor ATP Paris · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 21/10 | Tommy Paul ATP Lyon · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 20/10 | Cameron Norrie ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 14/10 | Mika Brunold Challenger Roanne · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 12/10 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 28/09 | August Holmgren Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Orleans · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/11 | Mattia Bellucci Challenger Orleans · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 09/11 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Orleans · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 04/11 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 03/11 | Eero Vasa Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/10 | Martin Damm Challenger Brest · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Lyon · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/10 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Clement Tabur Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/10 | Liam Broady Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Benjamin Bonzi vs Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg?
Our model gives 58% to Benjamin Bonzi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.