Tennis · Challenger Metz · 17/11, 10:00
Prediction: Gauthier Onclin vs Thomas Faurel
Team pages: Gauthier Onclin · Thomas Faurel
Prediction summary
Winner
Gauthier Onclin
Thomas Faurel
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Gauthier Onclin
3-7 (W-L)
Thomas Faurel
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gauthier Onclin 1424 · Thomas Faurel 1529
| Gauthier Onclin | Thomas Faurel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thomas Faurel (rating 1424 vs 1529).
- Thomas Faurel is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Gauthier Onclin | Thomas Faurel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 22% (9) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.7 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-12.6 | 10.1-8.3 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 2 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 61.3% | 71.2% |
| Break % | 34% | 43.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gauthier Onclin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Brussels · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Clement Chidekh ATP Brussels · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/10 | Harry Wendelken ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 13/10 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Roanne · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 06/10 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Villena · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 30/09 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Dan Added Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/09 | Jurij Rodionov Davis Cup |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Raphael Perot Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Vitaliy Sachko US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
Thomas Faurel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Taranto · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 24/10 | Eliakim Coulibaly M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Fares Zakaria M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-1 | W |
| 22/10 | Allan Gatoto M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/10 | Dorian Tremblay M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/10 | Jack Loge M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/10 | Emilien Demanet M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/10 | Isaac Nortey M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/10 | Daniel Domingos M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 30/09 | Clement Tabur Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gauthier Onclin vs Thomas Faurel?
Our model gives 52% to Thomas Faurel, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.