Tennis · W50 Funchal · 15/11, 18:30
Prediction: Valentina Losciale vs Kate Gardiner
Team pages: Valentina Losciale · Kate Gardiner
Prediction summary
Winner
Valentina Losciale
Kate Gardiner
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Valentina Losciale
7-3 (W-L)
Kate Gardiner
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valentina Losciale 1534 · Kate Gardiner 1497
| Valentina Losciale | Kate Gardiner | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Kate Gardiner makes many double faults (8.8/match).
Statistics
| Valentina Losciale | Kate Gardiner | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-9 | 8.7-8.9 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 8.8 |
| 1st serve % | 67.5% | 64.4% |
| Break % | 47.6% | 45.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valentina Losciale
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Kateryna Lazarenko W15 Villena · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 20/10 | Gabriela Paun W15 Villena · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/10 | Polina Skliar W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 07/10 | Lan Mi W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/10 | Tereza Tsybulska W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/10 | Zi Ying Ruan W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 30/09 | Chelsea Fontenel W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/08 | Valentina Ivanov W50 Leiria |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Sayaka Ishii W15 Logrono |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Maria Trujillo Garnica W15 Logrono |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Kate Gardiner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Fiona Crawley W75 Glasgow |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/10 | Amelie Brooks W75 Glasgow |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/10 | Lily Hutchings W75 Glasgow |
2-1 | 11-13 | W |
| 18/10 | Salma Djoubri W50 Cherbourg |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Lois Newberry W35 Birmingham |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 11/10 | Mio Kijima W35 Birmingham |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/07 | Jodie Anna Burrage W50 Dublin |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Ginevra Montebruno W50 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Amy Zhu W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Abigeyle Bhopal W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valentina Losciale vs Kate Gardiner?
Our model gives 64% to Valentina Losciale, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.