Tennis · W50 Funchal · 15/11, 11:00
Prediction: Aleksandra Iankovskaia vs Ada Kumru
Team pages: Aleksandra Iankovskaia · Ada Kumru
Prediction summary
Winner
Aleksandra Iankovskaia
Ada Kumru
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Aleksandra Iankovskaia
2-8 (W-L)
Ada Kumru
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aleksandra Iankovskaia 1402 · Ada Kumru 1533
| Aleksandra Iankovskaia | Ada Kumru | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 68% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ada Kumru (rating 1402 vs 1533).
- Ada Kumru is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Aleksandra Iankovskaia makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Aleksandra Iankovskaia | Ada Kumru | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (3) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.8 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.5-11.7 | 11.7-10.2 |
| Aces | 1 | 1 |
| Double faults | 5.8 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 50.8% | 58.6% |
| Break % | 56% | 49% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aleksandra Iankovskaia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Isabel Adrover Gallego W15 Nules |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Daniela Darta Feldmane W35 Loule · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Anna Shkutova W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 06/10 | Matylda Burylo W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Salma Djoubri W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Elyse Tse W35 Vigo |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Sofia Camila Rojas W75 Ourense |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 02/08 | Yuliya Hatouka W75 Ourense |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/07 | Ylenia Zocco W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Capucine Dournes W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
2-1 | 10-6 | W |
Ada Kumru
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Jana Bojovic W15 Antalya · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 05/11 | Anastasia Lepskaya W15 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/11 | Ilay Yoruk W15 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 22/10 | Vaishnavi Adkar W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 21/10 | Nina Sozaonova W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/10 | Manon Favier W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/10 | Sofia Camila Rojas W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/10 | Savannah Dada Mascoll W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Polina Berezina W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aleksandra Iankovskaia vs Ada Kumru?
Our model gives 78% to Ada Kumru, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.