Tennis · Challenger Metz · 15/11, 14:30
Prediction: Marat Sharipov vs Antoine Ghibaudo
Team pages: Marat Sharipov · Antoine Ghibaudo
Prediction summary
Winner
Marat Sharipov
Antoine Ghibaudo
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Marat Sharipov
8-2 (W-L)
Antoine Ghibaudo
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Marat Sharipov
0–1
Antoine Ghibaudo
(1 last)
- 16 Jan1-2 13-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marat Sharipov 1611 · Antoine Ghibaudo 1467
| Marat Sharipov | Antoine Ghibaudo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 30% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marat Sharipov (rating 1611 vs 1467).
- Marat Sharipov dominates on serve: 11.2 aces and 44.2% break avg.
- Marat Sharipov is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Marat Sharipov 0–1 Antoine Ghibaudo (1).
Statistics
| Marat Sharipov | Antoine Ghibaudo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.3 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-7.1 | 10.5-11.9 |
| Aces | 11.2 | 4.7 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 80.1% | 64.1% |
| Break % | 44.2% | 26.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
H2H · Marat Sharipov 0 – 1 Antoine Ghibaudo (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marat Sharipov 0–1 Antoine Ghibaudo
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/01/24 ITF M25 Doha | 1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marat Sharipov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Jake Delaney Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/10 | Zhe Jiang Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 05/10 | Semen Pankin Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/10 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Dalibor Svrcina Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 29/09 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/09 | Naoya Honda Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/09 | Pavel Kotov Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/09 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/09 | Elias Ymer Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Antoine Ghibaudo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/08 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 05/08 | Akira Santillan Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/08 | Tuncay Duran Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 21/07 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Dan Added Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/07 | Lui Maxted Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Mallorca · Grass |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 21/06 | Adam Walton ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marat Sharipov vs Antoine Ghibaudo?
Our model gives 68% to Marat Sharipov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.